Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 2.010319 2.192509 2.386805 2.609940 2.859741 3.131487 3.450427
2026-01-25 1.742505 1.991032 2.272039 2.615229 3.025657 3.504003 4.108470
2026-02-01 1.532829 1.810693 2.138417 2.557235 3.083665 3.730725 4.597671
2026-02-08 1.386420 1.681406 2.041235 2.518303 3.143063 3.946070 5.077376
2026-02-15 1.279859 1.587032 1.972600 2.500238 3.216450 4.174249 5.586365
2026-02-22 1.220848 1.545387 1.963779 2.553729 3.382495 4.534370 6.310685
2026-03-01 1.145456 1.474966 1.909338 2.537476 3.446127 4.751845 6.846568
2026-03-08 1.072399 1.401594 1.844085 2.498370 3.469887 4.908562 7.301585
2026-03-15 0.993204 1.314245 1.752848 2.413647 3.416834 4.941224 7.557781
2026-03-22 0.952902 1.278060 1.730269 2.425811 3.508143 5.201238 8.213385
2026-03-29 0.925485 1.257989 1.728674 2.467791 3.647012 5.547211 9.055711
2026-04-05 0.897733 1.235456 1.721456 2.499581 3.770671 5.877772 9.910761
2026-04-12 0.868530 1.209865 1.709085 2.523920 3.886785 6.211711 10.828842
2026-04-19 0.836137 1.177713 1.684750 2.527175 3.967473 6.491554 11.683449
2026-04-26 0.792118 1.125657 1.626703 2.471219 3.941162 6.574857 12.152980
2026-05-03 0.755942 1.083712 1.581946 2.433831 3.943455 6.709490 12.745767
2026-05-10 0.726966 1.051429 1.550563 2.416501 3.979479 6.910209 13.508744
2026-05-17 0.714722 1.044578 1.559242 2.467755 4.144168 7.376914 14.940065
2026-05-24 0.689486 1.015889 1.530803 2.452181 4.182148 7.593309 15.824317
2026-05-31 0.661560 0.981648 1.491482 2.414706 4.174964 7.715359 16.499115
2026-06-07 0.626948 0.935225 1.429806 2.333497 4.076680 7.636152 16.658325
2026-06-14 0.611819 0.919927 1.419633 2.345158 4.162261 7.959399 17.907327
2026-06-21 0.602666 0.913998 1.424931 2.385399 4.308133 8.430477 19.639729